Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.001252 0.001296 0.001342 0.001392 0.001445 0.001500 0.001562
2025-08-17 0.001168 0.001233 0.001301 0.001379 0.001465 0.001558 0.001668
2025-08-24 0.001103 0.001181 0.001265 0.001363 0.001476 0.001603 0.001758
2025-08-31 0.001074 0.001164 0.001264 0.001384 0.001526 0.001691 0.001900
2025-09-07 0.001041 0.001139 0.001251 0.001388 0.001554 0.001754 0.002016
2025-09-14 0.001003 0.001107 0.001226 0.001376 0.001560 0.001787 0.002095
2025-09-21 0.000968 0.001075 0.001200 0.001358 0.001558 0.001808 0.002159
2025-09-28 0.000940 0.001051 0.001181 0.001348 0.001563 0.001838 0.002233
2025-10-05 0.000899 0.001009 0.001138 0.001306 0.001524 0.001808 0.002222
2025-10-12 0.000877 0.000988 0.001121 0.001296 0.001526 0.001830 0.002285
2025-10-19 0.000862 0.000976 0.001114 0.001297 0.001542 0.001872 0.002380
2025-10-26 0.000843 0.000958 0.001099 0.001287 0.001542 0.001891 0.002441
2025-11-02 0.000832 0.000951 0.001097 0.001295 0.001568 0.001949 0.002569
2025-11-09 0.000816 0.000936 0.001085 0.001289 0.001573 0.001978 0.002654
2025-11-16 0.000798 0.000919 0.001069 0.001277 0.001571 0.001995 0.002719
2025-11-23 0.000794 0.000919 0.001076 0.001296 0.001612 0.002081 0.002911
2025-11-30 0.000784 0.000912 0.001073 0.001301 0.001633 0.002135 0.003052
2025-12-07 0.000769 0.000897 0.001059 0.001290 0.001629 0.002151 0.003126
2025-12-14 0.000753 0.000880 0.001042 0.001274 0.001619 0.002154 0.003175
2025-12-21 0.000741 0.000867 0.001030 0.001265 0.001617 0.002172 0.003254
2025-12-28 0.000718 0.000841 0.000999 0.001228 0.001571 0.002112 0.003173
2026-01-04 0.000706 0.000829 0.000988 0.001219 0.001568 0.002125 0.003241
2026-01-11 0.000699 0.000823 0.000984 0.001219 0.001580 0.002165 0.003369